ESG scores and carbon intensities aren’t the same as financial risk.
Company A
Oil and Gas Drilling Software Ltd
Low carbon emissions
Great ESG score
High transition risk — core industry is in decline
Company B
Nickel Mining Plc
Highcarbonemissions
Poor ESG Score
Low transition risk — nickelneeded for batteries and windfarms
Company C
Silica Industries Inc
Highcarbonemissions
Mixed ESG Score
Low transition risk — sand neededfor flood and wildfire adaptation
Dovetail's Outputs
Detailed scenario analysis for each section of every firm’s financial statement.
FIRM
PORTFOLIO
SECTOR
NPV Change Net present impact (%) of each scenario on equity value
Probability of Default Impact of each scenario on probability of default
Revenue impact $s every year to 2050
Capex and depreciation impact $s every year to 2050
Costs impact $s every year to 2050 across electricity, key raw materials, energy products
Transition adjusted cost of equity
Carbon emissions and intensity Scope 1, scope 2, and revenue intensity
Value at Risk
Emissions Intensity t/$M revenue
Exposure to transition by sector
Exposure to transition by risk type
NPV Change
Climate risk heat map 80 transition-relevant sectors x 6 regions
Sector trajectories for market growth, costs growth, and investment requirements
Powered by AI — Dovetail’s Model T
Dovetail’s founders led the climate data team at Palantir Technologies. Dovetail analytics draw on that big data engineering and AI development expertise
Dovetail’s backend is model T — a universal climate transition model for financial assets
Model T uses a multi-factor algorithmic + AI approach to turn climate economics into financial intelligence, driven by high capacity cloud compute (not Excel)
How our data is used
We enhance the investment process and help investors communicate strategy & success
Compliance
Report climate risks at holding, portfolio and firm level. For SFDR; IFRS; TCFD (CSRD & other regimes)
Risk
Identify and price climate risks at firm, portfolio, sector and region level
Stress test portfolios under a range of transition scenarios
Identify mitigation strategies to drive portfolio engagement
Upside
Find opportunities and track transition outperformers
Get in Touch
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